Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock Analysis
| AMBP Stock | USD 4.84 0.20 4.31% |
IPO Date 5th of August 2021 | 200 Day MA 3.9212 | 50 Day MA 4.1288 | Beta 0.562 |
Ardagh Metal Packaging has over 3.9 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing. As of 02/06/2026, Short Term Debt is likely to grow to about 128.7 M, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 3.5 B. Ardagh Metal's financial risk is the risk to Ardagh Metal stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.
Asset vs Debt
Equity vs Debt
Ardagh Metal's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Ardagh Metal's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Ardagh Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Ardagh Metal's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Ardagh Metal, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Ardagh Metal Packaging, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Ardagh Metal's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book 94.3249 | Enterprise Value Ebitda 9.5194 | Price Sales 0.5411 | Shares Float 143.2 M | Dividend Share 0.4 |
Ardagh Metal Packaging is overvalued with Real Value of 4.45 and Target Price of 4.45. The main objective of Ardagh Metal stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ardagh Metal Packaging is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ardagh Metal's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Ardagh Metal stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Ardagh Metal is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Ardagh Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ardagh Metal Packaging. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. Ardagh Stock Analysis Notes
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.59. Ardagh Metal Packaging recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of November 2025. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A. Ardagh Metal is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. For more info on Ardagh Metal Packaging please contact Oliver Graham at 352 2 625 8555 or go to https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com.Ardagh Metal Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Ardagh Metal Packaging Investment Alerts
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 645 M. | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ardagh Metal Packaging Sets New 12-Month High - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
Ardagh Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ardagh Metal's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-31 | 2025-09-30 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2024-10-24 | 2024-09-30 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2024-07-25 | 2024-06-30 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 20 |
Ardagh Metal Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Ardagh Metal's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Ardagh Metal's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Ardagh Metal's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Ardagh Metal's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Ardagh Stock Institutional Investors
Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 2.5 M | Gilman Hill Asset Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2 M | Diameter Capital Partners Lp | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.8 M | King Street Capital Management Lp | 2025-06-30 | 1.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.7 M | Keeley-teton Advisors, Llc | 2025-03-31 | 1.6 M | Canyon Capital Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 11.2 M | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 2025-06-30 | 10.1 M |
Ardagh Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.89 B.Ardagh Profitablity
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Management Efficiency
Ardagh Metal Packaging has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0253 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0253 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.6358) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Ardagh Metal's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ardagh Metal manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 02/06/2026, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 0.02, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.0007). As of 02/06/2026, Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop to about 1.4 B. In addition to that, Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop to about 5.4 B| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.26) | (0.25) | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (2.05) | (2.15) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 9.32 | 16.29 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | (14.57) | (13.84) | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 9.32 | 16.29 | |
| Price Fair Value | (14.57) | (13.84) | |
| Enterprise Value | 8 B | 7.1 B |
Ardagh Metal's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Technical Drivers
As of the 6th of February, Ardagh Metal shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.2227, and Mean Deviation of 1.36. Ardagh Metal Packaging technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.Ardagh Metal Packaging Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fourty-nine with a total number of output elements of twelve. The Moving Average is predictive technique used to analyze Ardagh Metal Packaging price data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of Ardagh Metal entire price series.
Ardagh Metal Outstanding Bonds
Ardagh Metal issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ardagh Metal Packaging uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ardagh bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ardagh Metal Packaging has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
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| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View |
Ardagh Metal Predictive Daily Indicators
Ardagh Metal intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ardagh Metal stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Ardagh Metal Forecast Models
Ardagh Metal's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ardagh Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ardagh Metal's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.Ardagh Metal Bond Ratings
Ardagh Metal Packaging financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Ardagh Metal have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Ardagh Metal's borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 5 | Healthy | View |
| Beneish M Score | (2.54) | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
Ardagh Metal Packaging Debt to Cash Allocation
Ardagh Metal Packaging currently holds 3.9 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.21, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ardagh Metal Packaging has a current ratio of 1.43, which is within standard range for the sector. Note, when we think about Ardagh Metal's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Ardagh Metal Total Assets Over Time
Ardagh Metal Assets Financed by Debt
The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Ardagh Metal uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.Ardagh Metal Debt Ratio | 72.0 |
Ardagh Metal Corporate Bonds Issued
Ardagh Short Long Term Debt Total
Short Long Term Debt Total |
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About Ardagh Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ardagh Metal prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ardagh shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ardagh Metal. By using and applying Ardagh Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ardagh entry and exit points for their positions.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.13 | 0.15 |
Current Ardagh Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ardagh analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ardagh analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 4.45 | Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most Ardagh analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ardagh stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ardagh Metal Packaging, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ardagh conference calls.
Ardagh Stock Analysis Indicators
Ardagh Metal Packaging stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ardagh Metal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ardagh Metal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ardagh Metal stock analysis, traders can identify Ardagh Metal position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 443 M | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | -142 M | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 602 M | |
| Cash | 602 M | |
| 50 Day M A | 4.1288 | |
| Net Interest Income | -210 M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 1.4 B | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 19.4175 | |
| Investments | -179 M | |
| Interest Expense | 205 M | |
| Long Term Debt | 3.8 B | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 597.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -179 M | |
| Tax Provision | 13 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.75 | |
| Other Current Assets | 28 M | |
| Accounts Payable | 1 B | |
| Net Debt | 3.3 B | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 4.7 B | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 3.8 B | |
| Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 5.5 B | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 63 M |
Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis
When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.